Make the call. Keep the receipt.
Put a probability and timestamp behind what you believe. Every resolved call compounds into a permanent, public Forecast Score nobody can fake.
Private access. Free to use. No money at risk.
itoldyouso
@itoldyouso · joined Mar 2026
forecast score
Your Forecast Score is the only currency on this network. Brier-scored, shrinkage- corrected, streak-multiplied. No vibes.
Confidence is priced in
Calling 80% on a Yes beats calling 51%. Calling 80% on a No costs you more than calling 51% would have. Proper scoring rule, no fudging.
Three lucky calls don't make you elite
The first few predictions are pulled toward an average baseline. Real rank arrives after a real sample.
Streaks compound, idle decays
Up to +20% bonus for consecutive correct calls. Stop predicting for two months and your score quietly trims.
@itoldyouso · 90-day climb
1,850 → 2,471
worked example
one call, three steps
72%
Yes · Fed pauses May FOMC
Consensus at the time of your call: 51%.
Yes
May 1, 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Source: federalreserve.gov press release.
+18
2,453 → 2,471
Brier 0.08 · skill 0.85 · ×1.05 streak. Out of 3,000.
Calibration
Brier 0–1
Your probability vs. the outcome, squared. Lower is sharper.
Volume
8-call prior
Eight average calls of baseline weight before you're judged elite.
Streak
+1% / call
Per consecutive correct call. Caps at +20%.
Decay
14 / 30 / 60d
Stop calling and the score slowly shrinks. Comes back the moment you do.
No deposits. No opposing house. No money flowing between users.
Betting sites
forecast.social
Every call gets a shareable receipt—wins and misses alike. The number, the locked timestamp, the consensus at the time, and the resolved outcome. Permanent. Public. Verifiable.
forecast.social · the call
march 14, 2026 · 09:42 utc
the call
your call
78%
consensus
51%
outcome
Yes
forecaster
@itoldyouso
score
+18
One scoreboard. Every call you lock in moves it.
01
Predict.
Drag a slider from 0 to 100%. Submit, and the call is locked forever. No edits. No takebacks.
02
Score.
Brier-scored, shrinkage-corrected, streak-multiplied. Your Forecast Score sits between 0 and 3,000.
03
Share.
Every call gets a public receipt with the timeline, the consensus, and your number—wins and misses alike.
Technology, markets, sport, culture. Clear questions with public outcomes, selected to settle arguments rather than extend them.
featured arena
Tech & AI
call on the board
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Rank lifts the highest-accuracy forecasters into the spotlight. You can climb. You can also fall.
The board is waiting for proof.
Five resolved calls unlock a public score. The earliest forecasters get to set the number everyone else has to beat.
Start climbing →FAQ
No. You don't deposit money. You don't withdraw winnings. There is no opposing party. You enter a probability, the market resolves, and your score moves. The only thing changing hands is reputation.
A Brier-based proper scoring rule, shrinkage-corrected so new accounts can't fake a record, and streak-multiplied so consistency compounds. Range is 0 to 3,000.
No. Predictions lock at submission and stay public forever. That's the entire point. The locked-in call is what makes the score real.
Everyone. Calls and resolution outcomes are public by default. You can't have a track record that nobody else can audit.
Access is opening through members so the network grows around people who actually make forecasts. Once inside, distinct calls unlock invitations you can send to people you trust.
Yes. Free to predict, free to follow other forecasters, free to share your wins. No card on file.
Your score drops, and the missed calls stay public alongside the correct ones. That's the trade for the upside. Confidence has a price.
Access opens through members. Bring a point of view worth recording.